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"China is a marginal producer of polysilicon. If the polysilicon prices fell faster than expected, China will be hit first and IC ADM691AARN and worst hit." CLSA Analysis believe that there is a strong signal display, until the fourth quarter of 2008 is still the bottleneck of the industrys polysilicon supply will far exceed demand this year. Long term, prices will benefit the majority of Chinese solar companies. The medium term, excess supply will lead to lower prices and the supply chain more inventory write-down of the risk worse.

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In addition, when asked if have not yet issued 3G licenses before the Olympic Games, the Olympic Games between the 3G services bring any obstacles, Yang Hua, said: "There is such a problem." but did not explain. 22 polysilicon plants, according to the statistical forecast feedback, 2009, annual output will be 3754 tons in 2008 climbed to more than 19,000 tons on. According to CLSA conservative forecast, the domestic polysilicon production this year will be at least 2.5-fold increase.

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CLSA solar industry recently released a report that Chinas polysilicon production plant no signs of slowing. With the increase in output and ADM691AARN Price and new orders growth slowed this year, 55% of production capacity exceeds the demand, which will further suppress prices. In the medium term, excess supply will lead to increased industry risk. Report, with the January LDK LDK polysilicon production line of the first phase, the Chinese polysilicon production capacity to 2 million tons, total output reached 663 tons per month, month by 34%, and average capacity utilization Shangpan to 56%. No indication of the polysilicon plant is to adjust their capacity expansion plans.

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